Scott Quinnell believes that if Wales can win the battle of the breakdown and get their defensive pattern back, then they can shock New Zealand. Wales face a formidable task as they prepare for Saturdays Test against New Zealand in Auckland, live on Sky Sports. Wales have not beaten New Zealand since 1953 while the All Blacks have not lost at Eden Park since 1994 and after shipping five tries to England in their Summer Tour warm-up game, the odds are heavily stacked against Warren Gatlands men. New Zealand may be starting a new era without the likes of Dan Carter, Richie McCaw, Conrad Smith and Maa Nonu but have plenty of players hungry to take up the mantle. Sam Cane is the man All Blacks coach Steve Hansen has called upon to replace McCaw in the No 7 jersey and Wales legend Scott Quinnell believes the battle between him and Sam Warburton will be crucial to the outcome. I think it will come down to the backrow, Quinnell told skysports.com.All eyes will be on Cane - he may not have the 149 caps that Richie McCaw had but he has plenty of experience with 30 caps to his name and has been playing very well. Warren Gatland talks about the challenge Wales face going up against the All Blacks on their Summer Tour We have talked about this for what seems for ever - if you can win the breakdown against New Zealand then you have a chance of winning - rarely do sides go to New Zealand and win the breakdown so I think Warren Gatland will be really targeting this area. Wales have an excellent backrow - its good to see Sam [Warburton] back and he will play a huge role on Saturday, not only in his role at no 7 but his captaincy as well.Taulupe Faletau is also an excellent player and has plenty of experience so his battle with Kieran Read will be massive. Ross Moriarity had a good game against England despite the loss and will be called upon to carry well and to be strong defensively as well.With Dan Lydiate ruled out, Ellis Jenkins is on the bench and should make his debut of the bench - that is some debut to make! How well do the Welsh rugby team know each other? Not that well it seems... Defensive patternsWales were ripped apart against England and many fear that New Zealands high-tempo game will do even more damage. However Quinnell believes that plenty of work would have been done to get their renowned defensive patterns back on track.My biggest concern on Saturday is how Wales will defend the tempo, added Quinnell. Nicky Robinson says Wales must match New Zealands energy for 80 minutes if they are to have any chance of beating the All Blacks on Saturday What England did against Wales at Twickenham was to play at a high tempo and get the ball outside of the Welsh defence. That is what New Zealand will look to do - play at a high pace, get behind you and ship it out to their speedsters out wide.Wales need to be in control of their defensive system. They know it works - it was just lacking against England - but I am sure with Shaun Edwards, they have worked extremely hard and with them back in place then I really do think that Wales have a chance.A Wales legendIt will take something special to beat New Zealand in their own backyard and Wales will need their leaders to really step up. One of those key men will be lock Alun Wyn Jones who will win his 100th cap on Saturday. Alun Wyn Jones reaches 100 caps for Wales on Saturday, and he tells us about what drives him on the field Alun Wyn Jones will go down as one of the Welsh greats - alongside such names as Gareth Edwards, Barry John and Mervyn Davies. For him to win 100 caps is absolutely magnificent and he still has a huge amount of rugby left in him. Every time he pulls that Welsh jersey on you can see the pride, the passion and the desire to win. He will be the man leading the charge for Wales on Saturday.ExperienceGatland has made five changes to the side that lost to England - four in the forwards with Gethin Jenkins, Ken Owens, Bradley Davies and Warburton coming in, Jonathan Davies is the only change in the backs as he replaces Scott Williams in the centre.You can see that Gatland has gone for experience - Gethin Jenkins has 100 odd caps plus he has Ken Owen in that front row as well, explained Quinnell. Fitzpatrick lauds NZ development Sean Fitzpatrick says the All Blacks will survive the loss of big players I think Owen has been unlucky over the last year or so not to be starting. He has brought this impact off the bench but Wales need that impact and energy from minute one down in New Zealand.Bradley Davies comes in for Jake Ball in the second row. Davies has a huge amount of experience and will be a big ball carrier for Wales. Some have questioned why Luke Charteris is not starting alongside Alan Wyn Jones but he has played an awful lot of rugby and it all depends on how his body has coped. He arrived late due playing in the Top 14 - its a long flight to New Zealand and when you are 6ft 10in then it is an even longer flight! Ieuan Evans previews Wales summer tour of New Zealand I think they have probably assessed him and decided to give him an extra week to get ready for Tests two and three. When you have the likes of Davies and Ball to call upon then you see that in some areas Wales do have strength in depth.Jon Davies is back with Jamie Roberts in the centre after missing the England game due to his club commitments with Clermont. His partnership with Jamie Roberts is very well established and that experience could tell against the new-look All Blacks centre partnership.New Zealand: 15 Ben Smith, 14 Waisake Naholo, 13 Malakai Fekitoa, 12 Ryan Crotty, 11 Julian Savea; 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Aaron Smith; 1 Joe Moody, 2 Dane Coles, 3 Owen Franks; 4 Luke Romano, 5 Brodie Retallick; 6 Jerome Kaino, 7 Sam Cane, 8 Kieran Read (c).Replacements: 16 Nathan Harris, 17 Wyatt Crockett, 18 Charlie Faumuina, 19 Patrick Tuipulotu, 20 Ardie Savea, 21 TJ Perenara, 22 Beauden Barrett, 23 Seta Tamanivalu.Wales: 15 Liam Williams, 14 George North, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12-Jamie Roberts, 11 Hallam Amos, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Rhys Webb; 1 Gethin Jenkins, 2 Ken Owens, 3 Samson Lee, 4 Bradley Davies, 5 Alun Wyn Jones, 6 Ross Moriarty, 7 Sam Warburton (c), 8 Taulupe Faletau.Replacements: 16 Scott Baldwin, 17 Rob Evans, 18 Tomas Francis, 19 Jake Ball, 20 Ellis Jenkins, 21 Gareth Davies, 22 Gareth Anscombe, 23 Scott Williams.Watch New Zealand v Wales live on Saturday on Sky Sports 1 HD from 8am - or watch without a contract for £6.99 on NOW TV. 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